Wednesday, January 10, 2018

Bungled Robbery Vs Bungled "Hit"

A few more thoughts on Seth Rich hypotheses .. namely regarding various assault scenarios blogged in the first "Seth Rich Hypothesis" post, and the (unlikely) possibility of hit-men (in terms of the given hypothesis taken a step or two further, i.e. for the sake of argument in the second post, "More On Seth Rich") ..

You could have a hit planned to look like a bungled robbery; in other words, the struggle is not altogether a case of their hit "going wrong," but a hit in which they deliberately and initially assault the victim - to compel him to fight back .. so that it looks like a bungled robbery. A problem here - perhaps why they don't take anything at all to complete the fabricated picture. Unless something did go wrong, regardless - or, the absence of missing items is one way the police conclude that the robbery was bungled - which is what they would want them to do. In either case, evidence being his damaged watch band, as if someone tried. (The watch band also seems to make the phone thief theory less likely - since those actors reportedly only took phones.) 

Ultimately, the hypothetical "hit" is bungled anyway because Seth is not left dead. He is conscious when the police arrive, although he appears (by this analysis) to have a concussion with short-term memory loss (I am not seeing any immediate google search material indicating assailants can deliberately inflict memory loss -though perhaps raise the odds, as it's reportedly common for assault victims not to remember they've just been assaulted - and because of a head injury - which Seth did have, per bruises on his face/head. But in any case, the research indicates the typical hit-man's main objective is to expeditiously (and without a whole lot of planned incidentals, I'd think) "get the job done."

Stressing here, again, actual (not fake) bungled robbery/*ordinary* street crime is considered most likely, and "dovetails" quite well with area statistics (again, as discussed in the first post). On the face of things, there's nothing *weird* about this being street crime, nothing out-of-the-ordinary in terms of the stats for unsolved murders in this area with a certain number of unsolved white victims (some have speculated it's weird because Seth Rich is white - statistically and demographically, it's not). Plus, the DC homicide unit is highly regarded (reportedly, number one); they have a high solve rate relative to the rest of the nation, and while having many more to solve.


Photo Left: Seth Rich as DNC Voter Expansion Data Director at the Aug 2015 Election Data Summit at American University in Washington D.C. - on "How good data can help elections run better." In a video that surfaced after his much publicized death, Seth Rich asks panelists, one of whom includes the Director of Elections for Denver, how (the DNC, we gather) can obtain better information on why voters' ballots are cast as provisional or rejected - and so they can improve educational guides for voters to better ensure that their votes are counted. Seth was committed to voting rights and developed an app that helped voters find their polling locations.

Editor's Note. This is number three of four in a Seth Rich blog series. Number one is here at "Seth Rich Hypothesis," number two is here at "More On Seth Rich." Number four, "Wonderland" is here. (Really, you have to take the time to read the whole lengthy thing - and in sequence - for any of it to make sense, even if you fancy yourself an expert.)